By Pritesh Samuel Vietnam is experiencing continued and unprecedented […]MORE
Q&A: Relocating Your Supply Chain to Vietnam
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on global supply chains, upending trade, and slowing growth. Due to the pandemic, China, known as the ‘factory of the world’ shut factories and production lines, battering supply chains. This created a domino effect with businesses struggling to finish products and source raw inputs.
Moreover, the US-China trade war was already forcing businesses to rethink business strategies and investment plans. Foreign companies outsourcing operations to reduce costs and improve market share is nothing new. The only things that seem to change are the companies changing the way that operations are relocated, and the countries that manage to attract capital inflows.
In this context, Vietnam has benefitted in attracting investors due to several factors including its ability to control the pandemic and reopen its economy, gaining an advantage over others.
What are the drivers for relocating your supply to Vietnam?
Vietnam has been growing its GDP between 6 to 7 percent ever year since 2016 and with steady growth in the past 10 years. Its proximity to China as well as other countries in Southeast Asia ensures it can remain competitive and connected to global supply chains. While the shift in countries moving to Vietnam was already happening, the below factors have accelerated this shift. We examine key factors responsible for this acceleration.
Vietnam’s middle and upper class is expected to reach 44 million by the end of 2020 and makes up about 46 percent of the population. This segment of the population is expected to reach 95 million by 2030 with an average GDP per capita of US$7,000 by 2035. Vietnam’s middle class is also spreading to other areas apart from the traditional hubs like Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. In addition, the female participation rate is one of the highest even trumping more developed countries like the US and Singapore.
Vietnam is a social republic and a one-party state, which has allowed for political stability. This has also translated to a stable business environment allowing businesses to thrive.
Free trade agreements
Vietnam is a party to 13 free trade agreements (FTAs) making it one of the most open economies. The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and the recently ratified European Union Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) are additional push factors for businesses looking to relocate their supply chains.
Vietnam’s ability to address the pandemic at an early stage has helped reinforce investor confidence that the country is a relatively safe place to do business. Vietnam closed borders early and suffered a significant amount due to the pandemic but has issued incentives and tax breaks to help businesses and employees weather the effects of COVID-19. The country’s economy is open with domestic flights at almost full capacity. While Vietnam’s economy is forecast to slow down to 3.8 percent this year, it is still growing faster than many of its peers including China, India, and Indonesia, and is on course to bounce back to 7 percent growth in 2021, provided the pandemic is contained.
Where industries are suited for this supply chain shift?
Vietnam is a large and diverse country with several industries thriving. As Vietnam moves from agriculture to service to high-tech manufacturing, certain industries are becoming more prominent than others due to increased investment and government incentives. In this context, we look at four industrial clusters primed for a supply chain shift as well as opportunities it presents for investors.
Garment and textile cluster
Generally speaking, the garment and textile industry is diverse. The industry comprises of around 7,000 companies employing 2.7 million people. Large firms are surrounded and dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the south-eastern region. These companies are located in the Red River Delta. However, with improving infrastructure, companies are moving around the Red River Delta area and Southeastern region as shown below. The CPTPP and EVFTA will benefit the industry but investors must be careful about rules of origin guidelines.
The automotive cluster has been growing at a rate of 10 percent. This is a non-resource industry for domestic local consumption. The automotive clusters are dominated by foreign players such as Ford, Honda, and Toyota with tier-2 suppliers delivering to these global companies.
The Red River Delta region such as Hanoi and Haiphong caters to original equipment manufacturer (OEM) suppliers. In the central region, Quang Nam province has seen an increase in auto parts production. In the south, automotive clusters are concentrated in Dong Nai province and surrounding areas. Investors should watch out for strict regulations in the industry as the government is protective of the local industry and wants to help domestic players grow.
The electronic cluster is non-resource and export-oriented. The industry consists of around 2,000 companies, employing 612,000 people.
Supply chains in this cluster consist of many tier-2 companies supplying components and parts to foreign companies. Investors come from South Korea and Japan and consist of companies such as Samsung and Nokia. We have seen large investments in the Saigon Hi-Tech Park with companies also in the Red
Before relocating, investors should study the skilled labor market and supporting industry in the location to ensure a return on their investment.
Food, beverage and food processing cluster
The food beverage and processing industry is dominated by small businesses. The industry consists of about 5,500 companies. The sector is natural resource-based with manufacturing for local and international consumption and export. Vietnam is a leading exporter of rice, coffee, and seafood. We have also seen high demand for dairy, confectionery, and meat processing. However, companies should be located in close proximity to raw materials to source inputs and high populated areas to cater to demand.
We advise that investors should do research on the market supply of raw materials. Due to an increase in demand, some companies can find it challenging to source inputs.
How do you decide on a location?
There is no one size fits all. Each industry, market, and location is different and thus we offer a tailor-made approach to each business as per the specific requirement. Businesses should conduct thorough due diligence before embarking on the relocation process and are advised to seek professional help when considering a supply chain shift.
Processes that should be considered during a relocation include:
- Market study;
- Initial screening;
- Preliminary due diligence and long-list locations;
- Detailed due diligence;
- Comparison model development;
- Final site selections; and
- Organizing a visit.